The US Empire – Conspiracy or Cock Up?

We hear an awful lot of conspiracy drenched ideas about how some shadowy elite or other is plotting world domination. But while it’s not quite as box office, the current state of international politics is so utterly beset by incompetence that you have to wonder how we made it this far as a species.

There’s no doubt that systems, especially economic systems are extremely sophisticated social structures. But they largely run themselves, incentivized by reward, dehumanized by abstraction, galvanized by procedure, and far from dependent on individual judgment.

How did we get to a point where a contemporary empire could be so dazzlingly inept? The greatest triumph of US foreign policy was the rebuilding of Europe into a stable, liberal partner through initiatives like the Marshall Plan. It took real vision to understand that the only way to tame German militarism was to substitute it with economic strength. Same with Japan. America’s bitterest enemies in World War 2 were converted into strong allies.

But almost every other strategic decision has displayed a stunning propensity for self harm. the Vietnam War, the Iraq War, the Bay of Pigs, the endless meddling in banana republics, arming groups that end up enemies – honestly, if this was a business, the shareholders would have stripped out the boardroom fittings by now.

Take North Korea and Iran. Everything North Korea says is underpinned by defense. They’re shit scared by the amount of US military bases on their doorstep, the Americans invaded them in living memory and they have all the paranoia of isolationism, so sabre rattling by America seems like an existential threat. How do you diffuse the crisis? By making them feel safe and recognising outreach as strength rather than weakness. The more the Americans up the stakes, the less the Koreans have to lose. They already feel they’re in a fight for their lives – endlessly confirming that just draws us closer to nuclear war.

Same with Iran. If the US had just beamed in cultural and economic rather than military imperialism, this theocracy would probably be gone by now. Every time a young, educated population looked like asserting themselves, the Americans would make a threat and everyone would reunify behind the national government.

The problem with propaganda is that too many in power have gotten high on their own supply. Thinking you’re in a B-list Hollywood film isn’t helping with the decision making process, and the more obvious this one dimensional view of the world becomes – where threats are Plan A, B, C and D, the more you have to ask…

Nuclear weapons have only existed for 70 years and we’ve still nearly killed ourselves. How much longer will our luck hold out if the people in charge of them don’t grow some strategic sense even if a pacifist ideal is way too much to hope for?

Manscaping

So – after a second bottle of wine and the total lack of any adult supervision, a profoundly misguided manscaping operation has escalated into what can only be described as a life threatening injury.

It all started innocently enough with some experimental waxing. Despite being shitfaced and immune to pain – this proved to be a poor strategic decision. Approximately 1 milimetre into proceedings, the realization that I had over committed began to dawn, and after googling solvents in vain, the devastating absence of an exit strategy sharpened into vivid focus.

There was only one thing for it. Grit your fucking teeth and get it over with. Staring apprehensively at the crime scene, I took a deep breath, pulled for all I was worth, slipped on the tiles, banged my head on the kitchen wall and twisted my dodgy knee again.

Am now in the hospital waiting room awaiting some form of prescription medication. The crowning insult being that the fucking wax paper thing is still attached and still needs to be dealt with. Forgot to put any boxers on too – so if the doctor wants me to take my trousers off to examine my swollen leg, we’re going to enter some very weird territory. Though on the bright side, at least I’ll have some decent narcotics to soften the blow.

Saturday nights aren’t nearly as good as they used to be.

Evolutionary Amnesia

Can’t help wondering if there’s an evolutionary purpose to collective amnesia.

Have to ask how, in such a documented age, we as a species are still able to resolutely resist the lessons of history. Whether it’s populists in Europe ignoring the industrial slaughter of two world wars to pursue muscular nationalism or braying Brexiteers forgetting the state the UK was in during the 70’s, it’s a pretty universal theme.

There seems to be this sense of assured stability that makes people think they can play with fire and not get burned. No chance of a fascist dictatorship here, so sounding a bit xenophobic won’t matter. No chance of another world war, so let’s recklessly wank off some testosterone.

And you have to wonder if this hardwired amnesia is yin to the golden age’s yang – that mythical past where everything was glorious. ‘Take Back Control’, ‘Make America Great Again’ – it all taps into that same serotonin soaked fantasy every generation before us hawked in kind.

Maybe evolution is actually a quantum phenomenon – it feels both linear and cyclical so even as some elements march in lockstepped progress, others just keep going round tragedy’s carousel.

I remember the first time I noticed evolutionary amnesia was the speed with which one forgets the stress of a new born baby. After a couple of years, all you remember is the smiles and suddenly you’re right up for a second one – fair play nature, it’s a blinding way to ensure we keep reproducing.

But this? There has to be a deeper reason for it surely – this propensity to self destruct like clockwork despite all the warning signs seems just too visceral to be chance.

Early Trump

I don’t go in for hyperbole much, but Trump genuinely is an existential threat.

This is way past populism. Volatility and pathological narcissism aside, he’s systematically delegitimizing institutions designed to restrain rogue leaders. The press, courts, government departments, statistics, facts, truth and now democracy itself. All these are imperfect and all have been abused in various ways, but this is something new. If institutions are perceived as fundamentally illegitimate – then all politics has left is the strongman.

Republicans are complicit through their silence – power and the chance to enact an ideological agenda is the price of seeing checks and balances burn. His supporters are unpersuadable by objective reality because truth is subjective and facts are an elitist plot.

He’s governing like a child with personality disorder – a degree of self obsession so brazen that no attempt is made to mask it. Everything is binary – glory or disaster. Any setback is a lie or a conspiracy. Every uninformed whim is voiced. Every self proclaimed triumph a desperate fantasy.

For all those who’ve railed against American imperialism, the spectre of Russia and China filling the vacuum shouldn’t be any kind of consolation. Same ambitions – way less transparency and recourse.

And now we have the distinction of seeing our Prime Minister validate him. Can no-one in the British government see that Trump is headed for calamity and our decision to antagonize Europe while appeasing this man is catastrophically short sighted? Even if they eschew the moral ramifications, the strategic idiocy is breathtaking. He’ll be long gone before any trade deal is signed and our role as apologist won’t be swiftly forgotten.

Climate change denial, sabre rattling, radically shrinking society’s safety nets, deregulating like Regan on PCP, advisors as swaggeringly incompetent as Trump himself, torture spoken of in glowing terms, trade wars started, furies stoked, prejudices normalised, justice warped, paranoia intensifed and the very definition of instability at the helm.

The 3 branches of government are set for the perfect storm. The executive branch has gone rogue. The legislative branch is stuffed with Tea Party zealots in gerrymandered districts. And the judicial? One new Supreme Court justice to be nominated in the coming weeks and then – if another vacancy opens – the court will swing so hard to the right that every advance made since the 1960’s will come under sustained assault.

It’s fucking serious.

An Immigrant Reflects on the Brexit Result

I have rarely been more emotionally damaged by a political event as I am by Brexit. As we turn our face away from the world and bury it in jingoistic fantasy, two profoundly dangerous currents– nationalism and a flexible relationship with reality are swallowing us whole.

Xenophobic rhetoric has become mainstream, validated by a May government that makes me long for the cuddly warmth of Thatcherism. The dynamic melting pot of cosmopolitan ideas that made me proud to be British is being strangled while academics, scientists, creatives, and the hard working migrants on whose back our boom was built are leaving.

Our negotiating position is a poorly constructed fiction, our negotiators are a testament to glib delusion, every last independent study demonstrates both the net benefits of migration and the economic damage that awaits us, and businesses are already looking elsewhere for a stable future.

I am an immigrant who has only ever called Britain home. Throughout my years abroad I have always felt a direct connection to the spirit of openness that Britain represented to me, but today I am strangely lost, despite feeling a citizen of the world – an ideal that Mrs May went out of her way to mock.

And for all those on the left who voted to leave – I hope you’re happy. Thanks for voting an abstraction when we had a reality to deal with. Jeremy Corbyn is very fucking far from my savior. I value strategic nouse alongside principle, because principle alone is no match for the forces we face.

He’s a nice bloke and I agree with much of what he says – but he is way out of his depth in this pit of vipers. And blaming it all on the ‘mainstream media’ doesn’t wash for me – someone truly competent would be communicating far better than this. Yes there is bias. No he isn’t equipped to outwit it.

So here we are. A one party state with fascist tinges as the latest prime minister in a long line of mediocrities opts to pander rather than lead.

I have been told to get over it, not least by my family, but I just can’t. I’m nearly 40 and this is one of the most painful blows to my identity that I have ever known. Strange – because I never fully realised what being British meant to me until this moment.